Instrumented Interconnecteds Intelligent

By Dr. John E. Kelly III
IBM Senior Vice President and Director of IBM Research

When I was a child, my father worked at General Electric’s research lab in Niskayuna, N.Y. I would visit and watch him tinker with vacuum tubes—light bulb-like devices that were used to direct electrical current in all sorts of gizmos, from radios and TVs to radar and computers. At the time, I didn’t fully understand what he was doing, but those visits inspired me to study science and, ultimately, to get degrees in physics and materials engineering.

I later came to understand that I had witnessed one of the great transitions in the history of technology. While my dad was showing me vacuum tubes, other engineers at GE’s lab were experimenting with the vacuum tube’s successor, the transistor, which ultimately ushered in modern electronics and personal computing. Those core technologies enabled computers that could be programmed to perform a wide variety of tasks.

Today, we are at the dawn of another epochal shift in the evolution of technology. At IBM Research, we call it the era of cognitive systems.

This is a big deal. The changes that are coming over the next 10 to 20 years—building on IBM’s Watson technology–will transform the way we live, work and learn, just as programmable computing has transformed the human landscape over the past 60+ years. You could even call this the post-computing era.

Notice, I don’t use the term “thinking machines.” That’s because I don’t want to suggest that cognitive systems will think like humans do. Rather, they will help us think and make better decisions.

How do we define the era of cognitive systems? It helps to compare it to what came before. The tabulating era began in the 19th century and continued until the 1940s. Those mechanical devices were used to organize data and make calculations that were useful in everything from conducting a national population census to tracking the performance of a company’s sales force. The programmable computing era emerged in the 1940s when scientists built the first electronic programmable computers. Successive generations of computing technology enabled everything from space exploration to the Internet.

Cognitive systems are fundamentally different. Traditional computers, which are still based on the blueprint that mathematician John von Neumann laid out in the 1940s, are programmed by humans to perform specific tasks. Cognitive  systems are capable of learning from their interactions with data and humans—essentially continuously reprogramming themselves. Traditional computers are designed to calculate rapidly. Cognitive systems are built to analyze information and draw insights from it. Traditional computers are organized around microprocessors. With cognitive systems, it’s about the data and drawing insights from it through analytics.

Because of these changes, the machines of the future will do much more than compute. They will be able to sense, learn and better predict the consequences of actions. In the years ahead, machines will cull insights from the vast amounts of information being gathered to help us learn how the world really works, and make sense of all of that complexity, and provide trusted advice to humans—whether heads of state or individuals trying to manage their careers or finances. Computing intelligence will become ubiquitous and pervasive. Increasingly, computers will offer advice, rather than waiting for commands.

This new era of technologies is essential to fulfilling IBM’s goal of using technology to help create a smarter planet—to make the world work better.

We need cognitive systems because recent developments in business, society and technology require new capabilities. The emergence of social networking, sensor networks and huge storehouses of business information create a seeming overabundance of information that some call Big Data. Systems are being asked to find patterns and draw conclusions, often in near real time, from huge quantities of information—and in situations where precise answers are hard to find. At the same time, in fields ranging from retailing to healthcare to government, the individual increasingly stands at the center. People are newly empowered with information about how the world works and able to express themselves in powerful new ways. They’re also becoming increasingly decipherable via the cloud of data that surrounds them and the digital exhaust they leave behind wherever they go. Through data analytics, we can know each other much better.

In addition, we need cognitive systems because some of the fundamental building blocks of traditional computing are crumbling. For instance, consider what’s happening with silicon-based integrated circuits. Today’s microchips are the electronic brains in everything from refrigerators to space ships. However, because of the laws of physics, we are no longer achieving improvements in the performance of microchips that we are accustomed to, and need, using traditional methods. We need to invent new materials and new chip architectures.

As I mentioned before, Watson represent the beginning of the great shift. The system was built by scientists using Von Neuman-based computing hardware—a cluster of 90 servers with a total of 2,880 processors. But Watson’s DeepQA software represents the paradigm shift. It uses a combination of natural language processing and machine learning to understand questions, search for answers in huge databases, and present possible answers rated by its confidence in their accuracy. Watson learns from experience.

Created as a so-called grand challenge by IBM Research, Watson caused a stir last year when it defeated two past grand-champions at the TV quiz show, Jeopardy! Now, IBM scientists are working with experts in healthcare, financial services, government and other domains to create versions of Watson tailored to their needs.

IBM embarks on grand challenges like Watson in efforts to reach ambitious goals with five- to 10-year time horizons. The challenges require significant breakthroughs and, if successful, would represent a revolution in the way we work, create and live our lives.

IBM has long been at the forefront of major advances in technology. IBM was a leader in tabulating machines when four predecessor companies combined in 1911. In 1944, IBM engineers worked with scientists at Harvard University to build an early electromechanical computer, Harvard Mark I, the first machine that could execute long computations automatically. It was the dawn of the computing era. Since then, IBM has been in the forefront of one important computing advance after another.

Just because we’re moving to a new era doesn’t mean the old one is going away.  Far from it.  Programmable systems will be around for years to come.  But the center of innovation is beginning to move to cognitive systems.

We’re on the leading edge of a technology transformation that promises to utterly transform business and society once again. But even though IBM has a broad portfolio of technologies and expertise, no single company can handle this sort of thing alone. We look to our clients, university researchers, students, government policy makers, industry partners and entrepreneurs to take this journey with us. Welcome, all, to the era of cognitive systems.

 

 

 

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Appreciate this framing/lens. And hope the meme spreads! This is a transition that cannot be ignored. My hope is that this visions finds faster cultural support and adoption as cognitive systems like Watson emerge as an enabler of lifelong learning (real-time learning, et al). ‘Computing’ that forces us to ask questions — Calls our bluff when we lack data/background to support a statement– or helps to foster creativity… is a model of technology to embrace. I look forward to seeing IBM’s vision of Watson at Work unfold…


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Cognitive systems will “sense, learn and better predict the consequences of actions”. Doesn’t the prospect of merging artificial intelligence, while less fashionable than it once was, with cognitive systems open the frontiers even further? Imagine the capabilities of a device that can sense, learn, predict and respond.


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Since technology is evolving at a very enchanced rate ……so each and every step coming up to put in some contribution is good.but sir can you please tell some deep insides of it of how you will do this.


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Dr Kelly, thank you and IBM research for your continued leadership in advancing the legacy that is IBM.


Posted by: Paul Govoni
 
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Interesting read, thank you Dr. Kelly. For those out there wanting to understand Watson better, I recommend:
Final Jeopardy: The Story of Watson, the Computer That Will Transform Our World

by
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9:27 am

[...] to support the company’s comprehensive vision of the future of computing, which we call the cognitive era. Watson is the first step into that [...]


Posted by: Watson Goes Global: How IBM Research – India is Advancing Cognitive Computing | IBMJobs
 
October 8, 2013
8:16 am

[...] to support the company’s comprehensive vision of the future of computing, which we call the cognitive era. Watson is the first step into that [...]


Posted by: Watson Goes Global: How IBM Research - India is Advancing Cognitive Computing « A Smarter Planet Blog A Smarter Planet Blog
 
September 3, 2013
11:40 am

[...] coming era of cognitive computing will be the primary focus on Sept. 1 when IBM Research – Zurich conducts a colloquium called, [...]


Posted by: Smarter Planet -- Young IBM Researchers Push Cognitive Computing -- A Smarter Planet Blog
 
September 2, 2013
9:11 pm

[...] coming era of cognitive computing will be the primary focus on Sept. 1 when IBM Research – Zurich conducts a colloquium called, [...]


Posted by: Young IBM Researchers Take on a Cognitive Computing Challenge | IBMJobs
 
September 2, 2013
5:16 am

[...] coming era of cognitive computing will be the primary focus on Sept. 1 when IBM Research – Zurich conducts a colloquium called, [...]


Posted by: Young IBM Researchers Take on a Cognitive Computing Challenge | Everything Natural Blog
 
August 23, 2013
11:42 pm

[...] ARMONK (Nueva York), 23 de enero de 2013— IBM (NYSE: IBM) anunció hoy que registró un récord de 6.478 patentes en 2012 por invenciones que permitirán avances fundamentales en dominios clave, que incluyen business analytics, Big Data, seguridad cibernética, nube, móvil, redes sociales y entornos definidos por software, así como soluciones de industria para los sectores minorista, banca, salud y transporte. Estas invenciones patentadas también significarán un avance hacia una transformación significativa en computación, conocida como la era de sistemas cognitivos. [...]


Posted by: IBM lidera lista de patentes estadounidenses por vigésimo año consecutivo | Estamos en Linea
 
July 23, 2013
11:29 am

[...] marked a significant step forward on the path to the cognitive era of computing. We showed that cognitive systems could use advanced learning and reasoning algorithms to sense, predict and derive insights from Big [...]


Posted by: Processing Big Data with Cognitive Systems that THINK | The Line — by Ron Riffe
 
June 19, 2013
1:57 pm

[...] See the main article:  http://asmarterplanet.com/blog/2012/05/welcome-to-the-era-of-cognitive-systems.html [...]


Posted by: What are cognitive systems? | Cognitive Xplore Inc.
 
June 18, 2013
4:34 pm

[...] Yet it was clear from remarks made by a scientists and government officials at the event, “Cognitive Computing: A New Way of Thinking,” that for the United States to retain its leadership in computing a [...]


Posted by: Cognitive Computing: A New Imperative for National Competitiveness « A Smarter Planet Blog
 
June 14, 2013
12:06 am

[...] more collaborative and democratic. Now, Malone is exploring how social business, data analytics and cognitive computing will transform organizations once again. Here, he talks about the revolution that is [...]


Posted by: MIT’s Thomas Malone on Collective Intelligence « A Smarter Planet Blog
 
January 15, 2013
10:06 pm

[...] significarán un avance hacia una transformación significativa en computación, conocida como la era de sistemas cognitivos. IBM lidera lista de patentes estadounidenses por vigésimo año consecutivo* Inventores de IBM [...]


Posted by: Con-cafe » IBM líder en patentes EEUU
 
January 15, 2013
1:28 am

[...] el gigante azul, anunció hoy que registró un récord de 6.478 patentes en 2012 por invenciones que permitirán avances fundamentales en dominios clave, que incluyen business analytics, Big Data, seguridad cibernética, nube, móvil, redes sociales y entornos definidos por software, así como soluciones de industria para los sectores minorista, banca, salud y transporte. Estas invenciones patentadas también significarán un avance hacia una transformación significativa en computación, conocida como la era de sistemas cognitivos. [...]


Posted by: IBM líder en patentes EEUU | Tu Guayaba.com
 
January 14, 2013
7:48 pm

[...] IBM (NYSE: IBM) anunció hoy que registró un récord de 6.478 patentes en 2012 por invenciones que permitirán avances fundamentales en dominios clave, que incluyen business analytics, Big Data, seguridad cibernética, nube, móvil, redes sociales y entornos definidos por software, así como soluciones de industria para los sectores minorista, banca, salud y transporte. Estas invenciones patentadas también significarán un avance hacia una transformación significativa en computación, conocida como la era de sistemas cognitivos. [...]


Posted by: IBM lidera lista de patentes estadounidenses por vigésimo año consecutivo - BB.COM.VE
 
January 14, 2013
2:12 pm

[...] ARMONK (Nueva York), 14 de enero de 2013— IBM (NYSE: IBM) anunció hoy que registró un récord de 6.478 patentes en 2012 por invenciones que permitirán avances fundamentales en dominios clave, que incluyen business analytics, Big Data, seguridad cibernética, nube, móvil, redes sociales y entornos definidos por software, así como soluciones de industria para los sectores minorista, banca, salud y transporte. Estas invenciones patentadas también significarán un avance hacia una transformación significativa en computación, conocida como la era de sistemas cognitivos. [...]


Posted by: IBM lidera lista de patentes estadounidenses por vigésimo año consecutivo | Estamos en Línea
 
January 14, 2013
11:42 am

[...] IBM a anunţat astăzi că a inregistrat un număr record de 6748 de brevete în 2012 pentru invenţii care vor permite progrese fundamentale în domenii cheie, precum analytics, Big Data, cibernetică, cloud, tehnologii mobile, social networking şi software dedicat anumitor medii, precum şi soluţii pentru industriile de retail, banking, asistenţă medicală şi transport. Aceste brevete vor avansa o schimbare majoră în domeniul sistemelor de calcul, cunoscut şi sub denumirea de era sistemelor cognitive. [...]


Posted by: IBM – pentru al 20-lea an consecutiv în fruntea Clasamentului de Brevete din SUA | ITChannel
 
January 14, 2013
3:03 am

[...] According to a recent article out of the company, “IBM today announced that it received a record 6,478 patents in 2012 for inventions that will enable fundamental advancements across key domains including analytics, Big Data, cybersecurity, cloud, mobile, social networking and software defined environments, as well as industry solutions for retail, banking, healthcare, and transportation. These patented inventions also will advance a major shift in computing, known as the era of cognitive systems.” [...]


Posted by: IBM at Top of US Patent List for 20th Straight Year | Big Data | DATAVERSITY
 
January 11, 2013
2:25 pm

[...]  IBM (NYSE: IBM) anunció el día de hoy que registró un récord de 6,478 patentes en 2012 por invenciones que permitirán avances fundamentales en dominios clave, que incluyen tecnologías de Business Analytics, Big Data, seguridad cibernética, cómputo de nube, movilidad, redes sociales y entornos definidos por software; así como soluciones de industria para los sectores minorista, banca, salud y transporte. Estas invenciones patentadas también significarán un avance hacia una transformación significativa en computación, conocida como la era de sistemas cognitivos. [...]


Posted by: IBM lidera lista de patentes por vigésimo año consecutivo | diarioti
 
January 11, 2013
6:25 am

[...] company said. These patented inventions also will advance a major shift in computing, known as the era of cognitive systems. While the sheer number of patents matters in the industry — IBM inventors have received [...]


Posted by: IBM Clinches Patent Title for 20th Consecutive Year - Fundamental Technology Partners Inc.
 
January 10, 2013
4:13 pm

[...] ARMONK, N.Y. – 10 Jan 2013: IBM today announced that it received a record 6,478 patents in 2012 for inventions that will enable fundamental advancements across key domains including analytics, Big Data, cybersecurity, cloud, mobile, social networking and software defined environments, as well as industry solutions for retail, banking, healthcare, and transportation. These patented inventions also will advance a major shift in computing, known as the era of cognitive systems. [...]


Posted by: BlogArena » Blog Archive » IBM Tops U.S. Patent List for 20th Consecutive Year
 
January 10, 2013
10:32 am

[...] Sono venti anni consecutivi che Ibm vince la gara e si posiziona prima in classifica negli Usa per quanto riguarda la registrazione di nuovi brevetti. E’ accaduto anche nel 2012 con il numero record per Big Blue di 6.478 brevetti negli ambiti Analytics, big data, cyber-sicurezza, cloud computing, mobile computing, social networking e per aver sviluppato nuove soluzioni volte a compiere il passo avanti forse più atteso nell’informatica per traghettarla nell’era dei sistemi cognitivi. [...]


Posted by: IBM, ancora record di brevetti nel 2012
 
January 10, 2013
8:58 am

[...] advancements in key computing domains such as analytics, Big Data, cybersecurity, cloud, mobile and cognitive systems. It marks the 20th consecutive year that IBM had earned more patents than any other company in the [...]


Posted by: What is the secret to IBM’s culture of Innovation? | India Onward
 
December 20, 2012
4:58 pm

[...] The IBM 5 in 5 is based on market and societal trends as well as emerging technologies from IBM’s R&D labs around the world that can make these transformations possible. This year’s IBM 5 in 5 explores innovations that will be the underpinnings of the next era of computing, which IBM describes as the era of cognitive systems. [...]


Posted by: Future Macs may see, hear and smell
 
December 18, 2012
12:32 pm

[...] IBM announced today the seventh annual “IBM 5 in 5” — a list of innovations that have the potential to change the way people work, live and interact during the next five years, based on market and societal trends as well as emerging technologies from IBM’s R&D labs. This one is focused on cognitive systems. [...]


Posted by: Touchez le futur : les 5 innovations IBM pour demain (5 ans) = 5 in 5 | Proâme
 
December 17, 2012
1:46 pm

[...] innovations that will be the underpinnings of the next era of computing, which IBM describes as the era of cognitive systems. This new generation of machines will learn, adapt, sense and begin to experience the world as it [...]


Posted by: BlogArena » Blog Archive » IBM Reveals Five Innovations That Will Change Our Lives within Five Years
 
December 17, 2012
12:16 am

[...] can improve our lives, and they’re windows into a much bigger landscape –the coming era of cognitive systems. The world is tremendously complex. We face challenges in deciphering everything from the science [...]


Posted by: The IBM Next 5 in 5: Our 2012 Forecast of Inventions that Will Change the World Within Five Years « A Smarter Planet Blog
 
November 5, 2012
10:41 am

[...] IBM website, May [...]


Posted by: IBM’s Cognitive Computing | SGEye Eyes the World
 
July 23, 2012
2:24 am

[...] human brainpower. But it was more than that. According to IBM, Watson’s debut heralded the era of cognitive systems (past eras include the tabulating era and the programmable computer era). In this era, computers [...]


Posted by: IBM’s Watson Could Help Mining Companies Stop Being So Destructive - The Mining Letter | The Mining Letter
 
June 28, 2012
3:11 am

[...] Center (ERDC), and Avirtec. More initiatives and programs are created all the time, new cognitive systems are being built and perfected, and while Big Data might scare some people right now, with so many [...]


Posted by: New Trends in Data Education | Analytics | DATAVERSITY
 
May 24, 2012
2:34 am

[...] 새로운 시대를 열어준 왓슨의 사례는 분석 및 인지 컴퓨팅에 쏠리는 학생들의 관심을 자극해주고 있습니다. 왓슨 시스템은 학습을 [...]


Posted by: 왓슨을 비즈니스에 활용하는 새로운 방법을 발견하는 학생들 « A Smarter Planet Blog – Korea
 
May 18, 2012
1:24 pm

[...] posed in natural language with speed, accuracy and confidence. The Watson technology represents a new class of cognitive systems that can quickly sift through large volumes of Big Data, and apply advanced analytics to improve [...]


Posted by: BlogArena » Blog Archive » First Academic Case Competition Proposes Novel Ways to Put IBM Watson to Work
 
May 18, 2012
1:34 am

[...] posed in natural language with speed, accuracy and confidence. The Watson technology represents a new class of cognitive systems that can quickly sift through large volumes of Big Data, and apply advanced analytics to improve [...]


Posted by: First Academic Case Competition Proposes Novel Ways to Put IBM … - e Mapenzi.com... All information on Dating sites, Free dating, speed dating, online dating, dating games, free online dating sites! · e Mapenzi.com… All information on D
 
May 11, 2012
10:18 am

[...] Kelly | “Welcome to the Era of Cognitive Systems” | A Smarter Planet Blog at http://asmarterplanet.com/blog/2012/05/welcome-to-the-era-of-cognitive-systems.html. Like this:LikeBe the first to like this post. [...]


Posted by: Comment on “Welcome to the Era of Cognitive Systems” | John E. Kelly III | A Smarter Planet Blog « In brief. David Ing.
 
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