The analysis: Statistically, Ferrer has played the best tournament of his career at a major – he’s played perfect clay court tennis against a variety of opponent’s who have games that are better suited to other surfaces. He has played solid, consistent, relatively conservative tennis, keeping the ball deep in the court, making it difficult for his opponents to attack and taking his chances when he has an obvious opening. Unfortunately for Ferrer, that style of play will not beat Nadal.
Nadal has played his way into this final by digging out matches against aggressive players with big games and big shots with the exception of Kei Nishikori who Nadal knocked off in straight sets losing a total of 8 games. The 7 time champion here has proven that he can handle whatever the opposition throws at him – even coming back in the 5th set against the number one ranked player in the world. Ferrer has nothing to scare him with.
Nadal has more power and aggression than Ferrer, Rafa’s high kicking forehand will make life difficult for the 5′ 9″ Ferrer – especially on his two handed backhand side – and will create many short balls that Nadal can attack. Ferrer’s only real chance is if Nadal is not on his game physically. Ferrer does not have the game to beat Nadal, he must hope that he’s still on the court when Nadal loses.
- Serving very well – 73% 1st serves in, 72% won on 1st serves, 59% won on 2nd serves – He’s saved 26 of 40 break points against his serve
- His forehand is his biggest weapon – 114 forehand winners
- He’s won 71% of his net approaches
- He’s been on court almost 17 hours to reach this final
- His return game and his forehand are his two biggest strengths – he’s broken serve 42 times in 75 return games (56% won) – dominating when his opponents have had to hit a 2nd serve (67% points won)
- He has not lost a set in reaching his first Grand Slam singles final – on court less than 11 hours
- He’s been extremely solid from the baseline – more winners than unforced errors from both his forehand and backhand – his winning percentage from the backcourt leads the tournament (61% won)