Djokovic vs. Berdych
- Great serving – 38 aces – 4 double faults – 65% 1st serves in play – 82% 1st serve points won – 71% 2nd serve points won – broken just twice in 57 service games
- Solid, consistent returns – 75% returns back in play – 39% won returning 1st serves – 55% won returning 2nd serves – converted just 18 of 58 break points
- Great balance from the backcourt – 47 forehand winners – 42 backhand winners – has not dropped a set
- Massive 1st serve – 56 aces – 85% 1st serve points won – saved 20 of 25 break points faced
- Return game is not a strength – only 15 breaks in 71 return games played
- Big forehand – 78 forehand winners
Matchup: Djokovic leads the head to head 13 to 2, Berdych won their last meeting on clay in Rome in May and won their only grass court match here at Wimbledon in the 2010 semifinals.
Berdych’s game hinges on two shots – his 1st serve and his forehand. Those are his big weapons and the shots that have to be on for him to beat the top players. Djokovic is the more complete player – he can hurt you with serve, return, forehand or backhand. He has many more options than Berdych.
The challenge facing Djokovic is Berdych has a big enough game that he can dictate play and if Berdych is executing his shots he can apply tremendous pressure. Djokovic will try to keep Berdych moving and off balance and will look to attack his backhand. The better all around game does not always win at Wimbledon where aggressive play pays the biggest dividends.
Ferrer vs. Del Potro
- Solid 1st serves – 67% in play – 77% 1st serves won
- 2nd serve has been effective even with 21 double faults (54% 2nd serve points won)
- Forehand is his big shot from the baseline – 62 forehand winners
Del Potro Highlights:
- Very strong service game – 42 aces – 39% serves not returned – 69% 1st serves in play – 79% 1st serve points won – 59% 2nd serve points won – broken just twice in 58 service games
- Dominating return of 2nd serve – 64% won
- Forehand is his dominant stroke – 49 forehand winners
Matchup: Ferrer leads the head to head 6 to 2 including a straight set victory here last year in the 4th round. In that match Del Potro did not break Ferrer’s serve with Ferrer dominating on his own 2nd serve (78% won). Del Potro won just 18 points off Ferrer’s serve for the match. Del Potro was broken 5 times and won only 16 “free points” (unreturned serves) on serve.
The numbers coming into this match indicate a different outcome. Del Potro has been dominant on his own serve and on his opponents’ 2nd serves. It will be interesting to see if history repeats or if Del Potro can unleash his superior firepower and turn the tables on Ferrer. Grass generally favors power and aggression. Del Potro at 6’6″ should have the edge in both those areas against the 5’9″ Ferrer. It didn’t make a difference last year…
Kubot vs. Janowicz
- Strong serving – 41 aces – 44% serves unreturned – 78% won on 1st serves – 57% 2nd serves won – broken 5 times in 51 service games – 135 mph top speed
- Solid return performance – 16 breaks in 49 return games played (33%)
- Only had to play 3 matches to get to the QF – got a walkover in the 2nd round (Darcis)
- Huge serve – 64 aces – 46% serves unreturned – 83% 1st serves won – 59% 2nd serves won – broken just 4 times in 62 service games
- Good return of 2nd serve – 55% won
- Big forehand – 67 forehand winners
Matchup: In this battle for bragging rights in Poland, the 31 year old Kubot and the 22 year old Janowicz will be meeting for the first time.
This is a battle of big serves with the 6’8″ Janowicz possessing the biggest serve in the tournament. He leads the tournament in aces (64) and top speed (140 mph). He’s lost serve just 4 times. The 6’3″ Kubot has hit 41 aces in just 3 matches, lost serve 5 times and has a top speed of 135 mph.
The difference in this match may be the Janowicz forehand. He can generate tremendous pace and will look to control the rallies with that shot. Kubot has been a bit better taking advantage of his break point opportunities while Janowicz has been a bit better fighting off break points against his serve. A few key points could prove to be the difference. This is the major quarterfinal for either player so nerves could also be “major” a factor.
However this comes out there will be a Pole dancing into the semifinals at Wimbledon
- Dynamic serving – 51 aces – 41% serves not returned – 84% 1st serve points won – 59% 2nd serve points won – faced only 7 break points in 13 sets played, dropping serve 3 times
- Big lefty forehand – 74 forehand winners
- Very successful from the backcourt – 56% baseline points won
- Strong 1st serve – 46 aces – 82% 1st serve points won – saved 12 of 16 break points faced
- Consistent and solid return game – 82% returns back in play – 60% won returning 2nd serves – 19 breaks in 57 return games 933%)
- Improved forehand – solid backhand – 57 forehand winners – 30 backhand winners
Matchup: Murray leads the head to head 8-1, but they haven’t met in almost 4 years. Both have been serving extremely well with Verdasco having an edge on 2nd serves even including his 18 double faults. Murray has been averaging just 83 mph on his 2nd serve compared to 102 mph for Verdasco (which might explain the extra double faults).
Grass tends to favor the bold and Verdasco has been willing and able to take more risk than Murray so far. Murray’s return of serve is superior to Verdasco’s and his ability to get more returns back in play and put more pressure on Verdasco’s serve may prove to be the difference.
Click images to enlarge them.
For more, visit the Gamechangers blog.