- Great serving – 76 aces – 7 double faults – 66% 1st serves in play – 82% 1st serve points won – 60% 2nd serve points won (he won only 39% of his 2nd serve points against Del Potro) – broken 6 times in 101 service games
- Solid, consistent returns – 74% returns back in play – 36% won returning 1st serves – 50% won returning 2nd serves – converted just 25 of 83 break points
- Great balance from the backcourt – 77 forehand winners – 61 backhand winners
- Strong 1st serve – 80 aces – 80% 1st serve points won – saved 22 of 30 break points faced
- Consistent and solid return game – 76% returns back in play – 57% won returning 2nd serves
- Improved forehand – solid backhand – 83 forehand winners – 40 backhand winners
Matchup: Djokovic leads the head to head 11 to 7 having won their last three meetings including the 2013 Australian Open final. That match was decided by performance on 2nd serve. Djokovic won 66% on his 2nd serve while Murray won just 46% – in the three sets he lost Murray won only 13 of 35 2nd serve points (37%) – in the set he won he was 11 of 17 on 2nd serve (65%). The bad news for Murray is in that match he averaged 83 mph on his 2nd serves which is what he’s averaging here entering the final. He may need to take more risks on 2nd serve in this final.
Murray has been returning well against 2nd serves here (57%) won and he’ll need to do that against Djokovic. In their last match Murray did not break Djokovic’s serve failing on all 4 of his break chances. Djokovic has been playing extremely well from the backcourt and his ability to win with either his forehand (77 winners) or his backhand (61 winners) creates issues for his opponents – where to hit the ball against the world number 1.
Serving will be key for both players – getting 1st serves in play creates aggressive chances and limits the opportunities for the opponent to attack the 2nd serve. In their Australian Open final, Murray took the opening set tiebreak in which he did not miss a 1st serve (4 for 4) and Djokovic did not hit a 1st serve in play (0 for 5 including a double fault).
Murray is playing for his country and for history – Djokovic is playing for his second Wimbledon title and his second major title of the year. The crowd and the pressure will be with Murray.